Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.068393 0.077007 0.085853 0.095589 0.105974 0.116691 0.128560
2025-05-11 0.052655 0.065234 0.078870 0.094607 0.112134 0.130928 0.152483
2025-05-18 0.044329 0.059390 0.076427 0.096804 0.120207 0.145968 0.176196
2025-05-25 0.038056 0.054723 0.074298 0.098421 0.126824 0.158734 0.196839
2025-06-01 0.031118 0.048281 0.069244 0.095863 0.127969 0.164741 0.209362
2025-06-08 0.025625 0.042933 0.064903 0.093601 0.128981 0.170201 0.220923
2025-06-15 0.022894 0.040852 0.064361 0.095742 0.135072 0.181472 0.239146
2025-06-22 0.020128 0.038381 0.063047 0.096691 0.139537 0.190692 0.254883
2025-06-29 0.018928 0.037991 0.064375 0.100939 0.148041 0.204755 0.276397
2025-07-06 0.016649 0.035737 0.062978 0.101484 0.151786 0.212978 0.290889
2025-07-13 0.016883 0.037350 0.066957 0.109166 0.164636 0.232404 0.318975
2025-07-20 0.014147 0.033950 0.063639 0.106906 0.164634 0.235924 0.327745
2025-07-27 0.012948 0.033091 0.064112 0.110054 0.172019 0.249125 0.349008
2025-08-03 0.010804 0.030357 0.061684 0.109145 0.174130 0.255840 0.362516
2025-08-10 0.009685 0.029303 0.061683 0.111565 0.180605 0.268056 0.382850
2025-08-17 0.008560 0.028063 0.061280 0.113332 0.186160 0.279087 0.401729
2025-08-24 0.006735 0.025080 0.057863 0.110542 0.185410 0.281941 0.410309
2025-08-31 0.005249 0.022462 0.054798 0.108072 0.184944 0.285049 0.419127
2025-09-07 0.004674 0.021811 0.054977 0.110410 0.191084 0.296724 0.438776
2025-09-14 0.003990 0.020740 0.054338 0.111445 0.195379 0.305985 0.455382
2025-09-21 0.003823 0.020987 0.056031 0.116077 0.204744 0.321937 0.480565
2025-09-28 0.003205 0.019856 0.055156 0.116670 0.208386 0.330350 0.496144
2025-10-05 0.003482 0.021374 0.059198 0.125027 0.223109 0.353479 0.530646